The long and drawn out negotiations are finished, for the moment, and there is a nice shiny new agreement between Iran, the United States and its allies limiting Iranian research into nuclear weapons. Conservatives are already attacking the agreement as ‘unenforceable’ and ‘impossible to monitor’ while liberals are talking about how the agreement will bring an end to 36 years of conflict. At least one of these sides, and probably both, is wrong.
The nuclear agreement between the nations has certainly changed from the original version during the months of negotiation. Many of the points that the Obama administration claimed would be in the final agreement have been removed and the watered-down version gives Iran an immediate monetary boost through the unfreezing of assets long held by the United States and ends the embargo on Iranian goods (primarily oil) in the global market.
The government of Iran has slowed, not stopped, its nuclear research program and, although it is not allowed to construct nuclear weapons, it is allowed to continue the construction of the means to create them. If the agreement is signed, Iran will be bound not to construct nuclear weapons for ten years. At the end of that time, of course, Iran can do what it wants.
In exchange for that promise, the members of the P5+1 (America, Russia, China, France, Germany and Britain) will lift the embargo on importing goods to Iran and exporting oil from the country. Additionally, Iranian assets frozen since the Iranian Hostage Crisis in 1979 will be returned to the Iranians.
There is no doubt that the Iranians, whether they keep their end of the bargain or not, will come out a winner in the agreement. Opening up the market for oil will strengthen the economy and give the religious government more money to increase their power in the region. Iran will have the economic strength to exert more political and military influence over their neighbors, many of whom are American allies.
This influence is already being felt in countries like Yemen where the Iranian backed Houthi insurgency is fighting against forces from Saudi Arabia and Jordan. With more money, the Houthi rebels will get better weapons and equipment and the destabilization of the region will become more widespread.
There are other conflicts in the Middle East that the United States and Iran are on opposing sides and, in the case of ISIS, on the same side. Trying to figure out who is your friend in the Middle East depends on what patch of sand you are standing on and, sometimes, what day of the week it is. All of that, though, matters little to Americans who are more interested in the outrage-du-jour within our own country. Why concern ourselves with the Middle East when the Confederate flag demands our full attention and outrage?
Iran is not our friend. They have never been our friend and they never will be. The Mullahs in Tehran consider the United States the ‘Great Satan,’ and no amount of kowtowing or promises of money will change that. If the U.S. wants Iran to be their friend, they should remember how that worked out the last time.
Disclaimer: The content in this article is the opinion of the writer and does not necessarily reflect the policies or opinions of US Patriot Tactical.
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